Get the latest on candidates, key dates, past results, and more for New Jersey's upcoming elections.
The 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial race is officially over, with Mikie Sherrill securing victory.
Stats: Favorability: 31% | Polling Edge: 20% | Name ID: 56%
Background: U.S. Rep (NJ-11). Focus: Moderation, fundraising.
Positions:
Elections for all 80 seats in the New Jersey General Assembly will take place on November 4, 2025, with primaries on June 10, 2025. Democrats currently hold a 52-28 majority.
Special school board elections will occur in various counties in 2025. Examples include:
Non-partisan municipal elections will occur in various counties in 2025. Examples include:
Based on recent polling, social media exposure, name recognition, endorsements, and other factors, here’s our analysis of which candidates have the edge in the 2026.
Current Leader: Mikie Sherrill
Mikie Sherrill has solidified her lead with 20% in the latest Hart Research poll (April 9, 2025), bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from nine counties. Her robust social media presence continues to give her high online exposure. Steven Fulop has surged to 14%, gaining traction with his early campaign momentum, while Ras Baraka holds steady at 12% with a loyal urban base in Newark, especially after recent protests. Josh Gottheimer (11%), Sean Spiller (9%), and Stephen Sweeney (8%) trail, with 26% of Democratic voters still undecided, keeping the race competitive.
Current Leader: Jack Ciattarelli
Jack Ciattarelli has a significant lead with 26% in the Emerson poll, bolstered by his 2021 performance and 59% name recognition. His fundraising advantage likely translates to a strong online presence, making him the most visible Republican candidate on social media. Bill Spadea (13% polling) has a dedicated conservative following, amplified by his radio platform, but his 60% “don’t know” rate limits his reach. The rebound effect (favoring the party that lost the presidential election) could boost Republican chances in the general election.
The Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the general election as Lean Democratic as of March 18, 2025. However, the rebound effect and a narrowing Democratic margin in recent elections (e.g., Kamala Harris’s 5.9% win in 2024) suggest a competitive race. If Ciattarelli wins the Republican primary, his moderate appeal and name recognition could make him a strong contender against any Democratic nominee.
Presidential Election: Kamala Harris (D) won New Jersey with 52.5% of the vote, defeating Donald Trump (R) who received 47.5%, a margin of 5 percentage points (with 93% of votes counted).
U.S. Senate Special Election: Andy Kim (D) won the seat vacated by Bob Menendez, defeating Curtis Bashaw (R).
U.S. House: Democrats retained a 9-3 edge in New Jersey’s 12 congressional districts. District 7 flipped back to Democrats with Tom Kean Jr. (R) losing to Sue Altman (D).
General Election: Phil Murphy (D) was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote, defeating Jack Ciattarelli (R) who received 48.0%, a margin of 3.2 percentage points.
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